Iran's missile program resumes with new Chinese chemical shipment, reports say
The first of two vessels carrying 1,000 tons of a Chinese-made chemical that could be a key component in fuel for Iran맥스카지노s military missile program has anchored outside the Iranian port of Bandar Abbas on Thursday, ship tracking data shows. It could be a signal that Iran맥스카지노s missile production is back to business as usual after the devastating, and embarrassing, attacks by Israel on key factories last year.
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The ship, Golbon, left the Chinese port of Taicang three weeks ago loaded with most of a 1,000-ton shipment of sodium perchlorate, the main precursor in the production of the solid propellant that powers Iran맥스카지노s mid-range conventional missiles, according to two European intelligence sources.
The sodium perchlorate could allow for the production of sufficient propellant for some 260 solid rocket motors for Iran맥스카지노s Kheibar Shekan missiles or 200 of the Haj Qasem ballistic missiles, according to the intelligence sources.
The shipment comes as Iran has suffered a series of regional setbacks with the collective defeat suffered by its allies: the fall of Bashar al-Assad in Syria and Hezbollah맥스카지노s losses in Lebanon. Following Israel맥스카지노s strike on Iran맥스카지노s missile production facilities in October, some Western experts believed it could take at least a year before Iran could resume solid-propellant production. This delivery points to Iran being not far from 맥스카지노 or that they could already be back to 맥스카지노 the production of its missiles.
The shipment was purchased on behalf of the Procurement Department of the Self Sufficiency Jihad Organization (SSJO), part of the Iranian body responsible for the development of Iran맥스카지노s ballistic missiles, according to the sources.
The second ship, Jairan, has yet to be loaded and leave China, with both vessels operated by the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL) company, the sources told CNN. The Jairan is due to ferry the remainder of the 1,000 tons to Iran. The Golbon left the Taicang port for Iran on Jan. 21.
CNN has reached out to IRISL for comment.
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The sources could not say if the Chinese government knew of the shipments prior to media reporting about their movement late January. The delivery of sodium perchlorate in itself is not illegal, nor does it breach Western sanctions.
In a response to a request for comment from CNN, China맥스카지노s Ministry of Foreign Affairs said it was 맥스카지노not aware of the specifics of the case맥스카지노 mentioned and reiterated that it opposed 맥스카지노illegal unilateral sanctions맥스카지노 and 맥스카지노arbitrary smearing and accusations that lack evidence.맥스카지노
맥스카지노China has consistently abided by export controls on dual-use items in accordance with its international obligations and domestic laws and regulations,맥스카지노 the statement said, adding that 맥스카지노sodium perchlorate is not a controlled item by China, and its export would be considered normal trade.맥스카지노
Sanctions backdoor
The United States and United Kingdom have levied sanctions against the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines company, with the State Department saying the firm is the 맥스카지노preferred shipping line for Iranian proliferators and procurement agents.맥스카지노
The U.K. treasury said the company was 맥스카지노involved in hostile activity맥스카지노 by Iran and highlighted its links to the Iranian defense sector.
Both the Golbon and Jairan are under U.S. sanctions.
Meanwhile, China has remained a diplomatic and economic ally for sanctions-hit Iran, decrying 맥스카지노unilateral맥스카지노 U.S. sanctions against the country and welcoming Tehran into Beijing- and Moscow-led international blocs like the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and BRICS.
China also remains by far Iran맥스카지노s largest energy buyer, though it has not reported purchases of Iranian oil in its official customs data since 2022, .
Despite China맥스카지노s historic ties to Iran맥스카지노s defense sector, observers say Beijing has scaled back security ties over the past decade as it seeks to bolster relations with Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states. The U.S. has in recent years, however, sanctioned a number of Chinese entities for alleged roles supporting Iranian military drone production. Recent joint naval drills between China, Iran and Russia have also signaled a potential deepening of government-to-government strategic ties.
A key ingredient
While Iran would need solid propellant for a range of missiles, including smaller air defense weapons, the lion맥스카지노s share of such deliveries would likely be headed towards Iran맥스카지노s ballistic missile program, Fabian Hinz, research fellow at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, told CNN.
Although sodium perchlorate trade is not restricted by Western sanctions, it can be chemically transformed into ammonium perchlorate - a fuel and oxidizer which is a controlled product.
맥스카지노Ammonium perchlorate is the material that was used in the solid rocket propellants of the Space Shuttle,맥스카지노 Andrea Sella, professor of inorganic chemistry at University College London, told CNN.
맥스카지노There really aren맥스카지노t very many alternative things맥스카지노 that the chemical in the Chinese deliveries can be used for, aside from for rocket propellants, fireworks and fuel, he said, adding: 맥스카지노Perchlorates have a fairly narrow range of uses.맥스카지노
Increasing controls on perchlorates in the West have seen China become a major alternative supplier of such chemicals, he said.
China has long been 맥스카지노a primary source of sodium perchlorate for Iran맥스카지노s missile programs, dating at least to the mid-2000s,맥스카지노 Jeffrey Lewis, director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies, told CNN.
맥스카지노This is just the latest shipment in a decades-old pattern,맥스카지노 Lewis added.
Supply troubles
Defense analyst Hinz said that while Iran has previously boasted of its ability to produce ammonium perchlorate itself, this delivery hints at supply chain bottlenecks as domestic precursor supply has been unable to meet missile production needs. It맥스카지노s a problem even countries like the U.S. can face, he added.
Hinz said that Iran맥스카지노s solid propellant production infrastructure has 맥스카지노dramatically expanded in the last few years - and potentially even since Oct. 7, (2023),맥스카지노 with new sites built and existing ones enlarged.
Kheibar Shekan missiles have a range of 880 miles (around 1,420 km), with their Haj Qasem cousins able to reach targets 900 miles (around 1,450 km) away, according to the Western intelligence source. Although not the most technically advanced weapons in Iran맥스카지노s arsenal, their range does make them valuable for attacks on Israel.
Hinz said that variants of such missiles have been used by Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen against Israel, despite the distance ostensibly outstripping the missiles맥스카지노 standard range. Modifications of the warhead mass or secondary propulsion units could lengthen their reach, he said.
Solid propellant is also used in Iran맥스카지노s short-range missiles 맥스카지노 like those used in the past against U.S. bases in the region and in exports to Russia, Hinz said. Iran맥스카지노s largest and most powerful ballistic missiles typically use liquid propellant.
According to the Israel Defense Forces, wreckage from at least one Kheibar Shakan missile was recovered following Iran맥스카지노s Oct. 1, 2024 barrage against Israel. Analysis from one of the Western sources confirmed that some 50 medium-range missiles with solid propulsion were fired at Israel by Iran in this attack.
Iran맥스카지노s arsenal is believed to hold 맥스카지노over 3,000 ballistic missiles,맥스카지노 U.S. Air Force Gen. Kenneth McKenzie told Congress in 2023 - but exact numbers of each type of missile are unknown.
A western intelligence official told CNN that, although relevant U.S. government agencies are aware of the delivery, there is limited concern over the shipment. If Iran does funnel the chemicals towards missile fuel production, especially on weapons destined for Russia, that will be of greater concern, the source said.
The Iranian government declined to comment in response to questions posed by CNN for this article.