Seven takeaways from the elections in Wisconsin and Florida
Wisconsin voters on Tuesday delivered Democrats their biggest boost since President Donald Trump returned to power, handing liberals a state Supreme Court majority and defying Elon Musk맥스카지노s record-shattering effort to bolster a conservative Trump acolyte.
Liberal Susan Crawford defeated conservative Brad Schimel, winning a 10-year term and retaining the 4-3 liberal Supreme Court majority in a state bitterly divided between a Democratic governor and Republican legislature, where the nominally nonpartisan high court has often functioned as a third, tie-breaking partisan body.
The race was an early 맥스카지노 but useful 맥스카지노 gut check of the electorate in one of the nation맥스카지노s marquee swing states more than two months into Trump맥스카지노s second presidency.
Crawford맥스카지노s win also fits into a broader picture of Democratic gains in the small number of contests held since Trump took office. Republicans on Tuesday held onto two House seats in ruby-red Florida districts, but saw the huge margins they맥스카지노d won there in November shrink significantly. A week earlier, a Democratic candidate scored an upset win in a Pennsylvania state Senate seat in a stretch of Republican-leaning suburbs and farming communities.
The biggest elections remaining on 2025맥스카지노s calendar come in November, when Virginia and New Jersey elect new governors.
Here are seven takeaways from Tuesday맥스카지노s elections in Wisconsin and Florida:
Wisconsin rebuffs Trump
Stakes were already high, with control over the Supreme Court in a critical presidential battleground on the line in Wisconsin.
Neither were on the ballot, but Badger State voters were weighing in on Trump (who won Wisconsin in 2016, lost it in 2020 and won it again in 2024, all by slim margins), Musk, and their performance so far.
Video below: Susan Crawford: 'Our courts are not for sale'
But the race took on national significance when Trump endorsed Schimel, the conservative candidate, and Musk 맥스카지노 the tech billionaire-turned-White House adviser 맥스카지노 poured tens of millions of dollars into the race and traveled to the state himself.
맥스카지노I never could have imagined that I맥스카지노d be taking on the richest man in the world for justice in Wisconsin. And we won,맥스카지노 Crawford said at her victory party.
The outcome is certain to bolster the spirits of Democrats who are out of power and ideologically splintered after November맥스카지노s losses. It맥스카지노s also an ominous sign for Republicans who are entering a midterm election cycle without Trump on the ballot, and one that comes before the effects of Trump맥스카지노s management of the economy 맥스카지노 including tariffs 맥스카지노 are fully felt.
Musk맥스카지노s millions
Aided by Musk맥스카지노s millions 맥스카지노 along with infusions of cash from billionaires of both parties 맥스카지노 the Wisconsin race quickly became the most expensive judicial contest in U.S. history as both parties wrestled for control of the court맥스카지노s majority in a key swing state.
But Wisconsin voters voted against Schimel, the candidate preferred by Trump and Musk.
Crawford and her allies worked to turn the election in a referendum on Trump and Musk, in particular. The tech billionaire, together with aligned groups, pumped some $20 million into the race and thrust himself into the center of the election with an appearance 맥스카지노 complete with a foam cheesehead 맥스카지노 at Sunday rally in Green Bay that Schimel himself skipped.
Trump endorsed Schimel in the final weeks of the campaigns, but did not stump on his behalf, and the result underscored the challenge Republicans faced in persuading voters who backed the president less than five months ago to turn out again for a judicial election in which he was not on the ballot.
맥스카지노There맥스카지노s about 200,000 voters who voted for Donald Trump last November, who just historically don맥스카지노t vote in spring elections,맥스카지노 Scott Walker, the state맥스카지노s former Republican governor, said on CNN after the race was called for Crawford Tuesday night.
With Crawford맥스카지노s win, liberals will retain their 4-3 advantage on the high court and have final say on key issues looming before the justices, ranging from abortion to voting rules 맥스카지노 and potentially 맥스카지노 redrawing congressional maps that currently give Republicans in the state 6 out of 8 House seats.
Musk맥스카지노s high-profile gamble 맥스카지노 and loss 맥스카지노 in Wisconsin raises questions about the effectiveness of his money and brand moving forward as he works to help Republicans next year attempt to buck the trend of the president맥스카지노s party losing ground in the midterms.
The Tesla CEO has previously committed to send $100 million to support Trump-controlled political groups, a source familiar with the plans confirmed. And he recently donated directly to a clutch of House GOP members who have voiced support for impeaching judges who thwart Trump맥스카지노s executive moves.
Democrats involved in House races say Musk맥스카지노s role 맥스카지노 and the controversy surrounding his effort to slash federal spending as part of the Trump administration맥스카지노s Department of Government Efficiency 맥스카지노 will remain a focus in elections ahead. (Some ads from pro-Crawford groups featured images of Musk wielding a chainsaw this year at a gathering of conservative activists and sought to tie him to cuts to programs that benefit the poor and elderly.)
맥스카지노He맥스카지노s good foil,맥스카지노 a Democratic strategist involved in House races said of Musk. 맥스카지노Trump is a good foil in many ways, but at the end of the day, a lot of people voted for Trump. Nobody voted for Elon Musk and especially the outsized role he has played.맥스카지노
Wisconsin adds voter ID to state constitution
A GOP-backed referendum to enshrine Wisconsin맥스카지노s voter ID requirement in the state Constitution passed overwhelmingly Tuesday, even as voters kept the state Supreme Court in liberals맥스카지노 hands.
Wisconsin voters have been required to present a photo ID when requesting an absentee ballot or voting in person since 2011. But Tuesday맥스카지노s referendum will make it harder for any future Democratic majority in the state to repeal those laws and protect the requirement from legal challenges.
Supporters of voter ID laws argue that they prevent fraud and maintain trust in election integrity. Opponents say they make it harder for some 맥스카지노 especially low income and disabled voters 맥스카지노 to cast ballots and have been used to disenfranchise people. Democrats urged voters to oppose the measure, as did nearly two dozen civil rights groups, including the Wisconsin chapters of the ACLU and the League of Women Voters.
But despite the opposition, voter ID laws are popular in the state. A February Marquette University Law School poll found that 73% of Wisconsin voters supported adding the voter ID requirement to the state Constitution.
Wisconsin proves it맥스카지노s a purple state
Schimel맥스카지노s loss is an embarrassment for Trump 맥스카지노 and an even costlier one for Musk. But it맥스카지노s too soon to say what it means for Wisconsin맥스카지노s political future.
For years, Wisconsin Democrats have worked to claw their way back to power after being hammered by former Republican Gov. Scott Walker. In recent years, those efforts have started to bear fruit.
Two years after Trump broke the Blue Wall in 2016, Democrat Tony Evers defeated Walker in 2018. President Joe Biden won the state in 2020, Evers won re-election in 2022 and liberals won control of the state Supreme Court in 2023.
Flipping the state Supreme Court sent shockwaves through the state and led to new maps that allowed Democrats to flip a handful of state legislative seats last year. But it did not preview a blue wave in the state in 2024: though Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin won re-election, Trump narrowly won the state by about 30,000 votes.
In other words: Wisconsin rejected Trump and Musk Tuesday, but it is still a purple state.
Even Tuesday맥스카지노s vote hinted at the nuanced political views in the state. Crawford맥스카지노s victory, in the face of millions in spending by Musk and Trump맥스카지노s endorsement of her opponent, came courtesy of the same voters who enshrined voter ID in the state Constitution.
One thing is clear: Republicans will need to rely on more than Trump맥스카지노s support and Musk맥스카지노s money to succeed in the state in 2026.
GOP맥스카지노s growing margins
For House Speaker Mike Johnson, wins by Republicans Jimmy Patronis in Florida맥스카지노s 1st District and Randy Fine in the 6th District mean more breathing room to advance Trump맥스카지노s agenda.
Video below: Randy Fine wins Florida District 6 special election
Johnson맥스카지노s House majority is so slim that Trump was forced to pull his nomination of New York Rep. Elise Stefanik for U.S. ambassador to the United Nations to avoid a special election in a solidly red district.
맥스카지노We have a slim margin. We don맥스카지노t want to take any chances. We don맥스카지노t want to experiment,맥스카지노 Trump said last week.
Losses in Florida would have ignited full-blown panic on Capitol Hill 맥스카지노 and made Johnson맥스카지노s task of keeping together an ideologically fractured caucus even more difficult.
The GOP averted that potential disaster. But the smaller-than-expected margins during Tuesday night맥스카지노s special elections could still leave congressional Republicans nervous, and are likely to serve as a wake-up call for those representing even nominally competitive districts.
Democratic overperformance in Florida
Although Republicans won both special elections in Florida and shored up their party맥스카지노s narrow majority in the House, the races grew more competitive than expected in the stretch to election day with the Democrats raising significant sums.
And Tuesday맥스카지노s results offered some warning signs for the party. In districts Trump won by at least 30 points less than five months ago, both Democratic contenders cut those margins by roughly half, early results show.
Fine, in Florida맥스카지노s 6th District, won by fewer than 14 percentage points after being outraised 10-to-1 by his Democratic opponent Josh Weil, a teacher.
맥스카지노Congratulations Randy, a great WIN against a massive CASH AVALANCHE,맥스카지노 Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform Tuesday night.
For GOP incumbents in battleground seats seeking reelection next year, the narrow margins in these deep-red Florida districts could serve as a potential warning sign of a tough midterm environment if Democrats are able to sustain their enthusiasm in opposition to Trump, Musk and the Republican agenda.
Trumpification of Florida
A year after his public and contentious civil war with Republican Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis came to an end, Trump once again made clear who controls the GOP in his home state.
Trump dictated the outcome of the Republican races to replace Gaetz and Waltz with his endorsement 맥스카지노 elevating two candidates in Patronis and Fine who had loose ties to the districts they were tapped to represent. No matter, both sailed to victory in their primaries. Despite the closer-than-expected outcomes Tuesday, he now has two loyalists in Congress who owe their ascension almost entirely to Trump.
DeSantis, meanwhile, declined to endorse both Trump-backed nominees, didn맥스카지노t lift a finger to help the GOP maintain its majority and trashed Fine as an objectionable candidate just as Republican panic over the race was reaching a crescendo.
Fine and Patronis will now migrate to Washington where Trump has orchestrated a Florida takeover of federal government by leaning on Republicans who two years ago backed the president over their home state governor during the Republican presidential primary. His chief of staff, Susie Wiles, is a former DeSantis operative as is top White House political adviser James Blair. Trump named Waltz his National Security Adviser and the state맥스카지노s ex-Sen. Marco Rubio as his secretary of state. When the nomination for Panhandle Republican Gaetz to lead the Department of Justice faltered, Trump turned to Florida맥스카지노s former attorney general, Pam Bondi. Some of Trump맥스카지노s top fundraisers are Sunshine State lobbyists who are leveraging their connections to sign up a roster of clients looking to sway the new administration.
Publicly, Trump and DeSantis remain on solid terms. But the latest touchstone in their ongoing rivalry comes as the president is already looking to leave his mark on next year맥스카지노s gubernatorial race in Florida. Trump made an early endorsement of Rep. Byron Donalds even as DeSantis맥스카지노 wife, Casey DeSantis, has taken steps toward her own race to succeed her husband.
Tuesday맥스카지노s results make clear Trump맥스카지노s brand remains strong with the state맥스카지노s base. Republicans credited Trump맥스카지노s late involvement for the surge of support for Fine on Election Day that ultimately carried him over the finish line. So did the Democrat.
맥스카지노The President of the United States had to break into his schedule,맥스카지노 Weil said, 맥스카지노to drag (Fine) across the finish line.맥스카지노